"The evidence outside of one poll points towards a close election with Trump having an edge. No mention by the Times that it is difficult to take down an incumbent president. Looking back at 2012 polling, Senator Mitt Romney (R-UT) led in the RCP average of polls for roughly two weeks leading up the election, with President Obama losing momentum. President George W. Bush consistently trailed Sen. John Kerry (D-MA) in polling from July 5 to August 25, 2004, by margins less than what we see today. In both cases, the incumbents won." ~Brian Darling
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